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                  <text>Dominio científico: Agricultura sostenible</text>
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                <text>For a significant geography: readings on urban agriculture and the importance of fieldwork for research and teaching geography / Por uma Geografia significativa: leituras sobre a agricultura urbana e a importância do trabalho de campo para a pesquisa e o ensino de Geografia</text>
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                <text>Leandro Matias dos Santos, Michelle Emanuelle Silva, Cirlene Jeane Santos e Santos</text>
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                <text>This article is based on the fieldwork carried out by researchers from NUAGRARIOtogether with the students of the 5th period of the subject Agrarian Geography, of the GeographyCourses (licenciatura and baccalaureate), Federal University of Alagoas on Urban Agriculture, in themunicipality of Maceió -AL. In order to verify if the selected areas virtually contained the practice ofurban agriculture. In this way, the main objective of the article is to demonstrate the importance of thework of campo no process of social formation through the understanding, observation and recognition ofreality, highlighting the geographic contents that can be approached through this methodology.</text>
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                <text>Foraminíferos Bentónicos y su relación con la materia orgánica particulada en el sedimento Foraminíferos Bentónicos y su relación con la materia orgánica particulada en el sedimento</text>
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                <text>The relation between some benthic foraminiferal species and the biocenosis with the organic particules rich substrate in a coastal lagoon surrounded by magrove forest, is stablisheci.Se establece la relación entre algunas especies de foraminíferos bentónicos y de la biocenosis en general, con el substrato rico en materia orgánica particulada de origen vegetal, en una laguna costera rodeada de manglares.</text>
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                <text>Forecasting and Evaluating Multiple Interventions for COVID-19 Worldwide</text>
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          <element elementId="39">
            <name>Creator</name>
            <description>An entity primarily responsible for making the resource</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="31430">
                <text>Li Jin, Eric Boerwinkle, Momiao Xiong, Zixin Hu, Qiyang Ge, Shudi Li</text>
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            <description>An account of the resource</description>
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                <text>As the Covid-19 pandemic surges around the world, questions arise about the number of global cases at the pandemic's peak, the length of the pandemic before receding, and the timing of intervention strategies to significantly stop the spread of Covid-19. We have developed artificial intelligence (AI)-inspired methods for modeling the transmission dynamics of the epidemics and evaluating interventions to curb the spread and impact of COVID-19. The developed methods were applied to the surveillance data of cumulative and new COVID-19 cases and deaths reported by WHO as of March 16th, 2020. Both the timing and the degree of intervention were evaluated. The average error of five-step ahead forecasting was 2.5%. The total peak number of cumulative cases, new cases, and the maximum number of cumulative cases in the world with complete intervention implemented 4 weeks later than the beginning date (March 16th, 2020) reached 75,249,909, 10,086,085, and 255,392,154, respectively. However, the total peak number of cumulative cases, new cases, and the maximum number of cumulative cases in the world with complete intervention after 1 week were reduced to 951,799, 108,853 and 1,530,276, respectively. Duration time of the COVID-19 spread was reduced from 356 days to 232 days between later and earlier interventions. We observed that delaying intervention for 1 month caused the maximum number of cumulative cases reduce by −166.89 times that of earlier complete intervention, and the number of deaths increased from 53,560 to 8,938,725. Earlier and complete intervention is necessary to stem the tide of COVID-19 infection.</text>
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                <text>2020</text>
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            <name>Subject</name>
            <description>The topic of the resource</description>
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                <text>forecasting, artificial intelligence, time series, autoencoder, Transmission dynamics, COVID-19</text>
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                <text>DOI: 10.3389/frai.2020.00041</text>
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              <elementText elementTextId="31435">
                <text>Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence</text>
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            <name>Publisher</name>
            <description>An entity responsible for making the resource available</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="31436">
                <text>Frontiers Media S.A.</text>
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              <elementText elementTextId="31437">
                <text>Electronic computers. Computer science</text>
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              <name>Title</name>
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                  <text>Coronavirus</text>
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              <description>An account of the resource</description>
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                  <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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            <description>A name given to the resource</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="14461">
                <text>Forecasting COVID-19</text>
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            <name>Creator</name>
            <description>An entity primarily responsible for making the resource</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="14462">
                <text>Matjaž Perc, Nina Gorišek Miksić, Mitja Slavinec, Andraž Stožer</text>
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            <description>An account of the resource</description>
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                <text>The World Health Organization declared the coronavirus disease 2019 a pandemic on March 11th, pointing to the over 118,000 cases in over 110 countries and territories around the world at that time. At the time of writing this manuscript, the number of confirmed cases has been surging rapidly past the half-million mark, emphasizing the sustained risk of further global spread. Governments around the world are imposing various containment measures while the healthcare system is bracing itself for tsunamis of infected individuals that will seek treatment. It is therefore important to know what to expect in terms of the growth of the number of cases, and to understand what is needed to arrest the very worrying trends. To that effect, we here show forecasts obtained with a simple iteration method that needs only the daily values of confirmed cases as input. The method takes into account expected recoveries and deaths, and it determines maximally allowed daily growth rates that lead away from exponential increase toward stable and declining numbers. Forecasts show that daily growth rates should be kept at least below 5% if we wish to see plateaus any time soon—unfortunately far from reality in most countries to date. We provide an executable as well as the source code for a straightforward application of the method on data from other countries.</text>
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            <name>Date</name>
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              <elementText elementTextId="14464">
                <text>2020</text>
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          <element elementId="49">
            <name>Subject</name>
            <description>The topic of the resource</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="14465">
                <text>COVID-19, Pandemic, disease dynamics, exponential growth, virality</text>
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            <name>Identifier</name>
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              <elementText elementTextId="14466">
                <text>DOI: 10.3389/fphy.2020.00127</text>
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            <description>A related resource from which the described resource is derived</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="14467">
                <text>Frontiers in Physics</text>
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            <name>Publisher</name>
            <description>An entity responsible for making the resource available</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="14468">
                <text>Frontiers Media S.A.</text>
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              <elementText elementTextId="14469">
                <text>Physics</text>
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            <description>A language of the resource</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="14470">
                <text>EN</text>
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            <element elementId="50">
              <name>Title</name>
              <description>A name given to the resource</description>
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                <elementText elementTextId="1">
                  <text>Coronavirus</text>
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            <element elementId="41">
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              <description>An account of the resource</description>
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                  <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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      <name>Text</name>
      <description>A resource consisting primarily of words for reading. Examples include books, letters, dissertations, poems, newspapers, articles, archives of mailing lists. Note that facsimiles or images of texts are still of the genre Text.</description>
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        <name>Dublin Core</name>
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          <element elementId="50">
            <name>Title</name>
            <description>A name given to the resource</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="26190">
                <text>Forecasting COVID-19 in Morocco</text>
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            <name>Creator</name>
            <description>An entity primarily responsible for making the resource</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="26191">
                <text>Mohammed Layelmam, Y. Ahmed Laaziz, Said Benchelha, Yahya Diyer, Sarra Rarhibou</text>
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            <description>An account of the resource</description>
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                <text>The COVID-19 has become a public health emergency of international concern. As of April 26, 2020, this pandemic has caused in Morocco more than 4065 confirmed infections and more than 161 reported deaths. To mitigate this epidemic threat and act quickly, it is very important to monitor and analyze changing trends and predict what might happen in the future. The main objective of this paper is to develop a successful prediction. We used in this study at the end of each week the TBATS model to forecast confirmed cases. This model is calculated on the basis of the daily historical data. From the results obtained we can conclude that the predictions obtained are close to reality and for the peak of this epidemic is not yet identified. The obtained results shows that this epidemics will continue to grow. For our forecast from 04/27/2020 to 05/03/2020 we estimate that the number of affected cases will achieve 4367 cases.</text>
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            <name>Date</name>
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              <elementText elementTextId="26193">
                <text>2020</text>
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          <element elementId="49">
            <name>Subject</name>
            <description>The topic of the resource</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="26194">
                <text>forecasting, coronavirus, Morocco, COVID-19, TBATS</text>
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            <name>Identifier</name>
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              <elementText elementTextId="26195">
                <text>DOI: 10.5799/jcei/8264</text>
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            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="26196">
                <text>Journal of Clinical and Experimental Investigations</text>
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            <name>Publisher</name>
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              <elementText elementTextId="26197">
                <text>Association of Health Investigations</text>
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            </elementTextContainer>
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            <description>The spatial or temporal topic of the resource, the spatial applicability of the resource, or the jurisdiction under which the resource is relevant</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="26198">
                <text>Medicine</text>
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            </elementTextContainer>
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  <item itemId="2587" public="1" featured="0">
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              <name>Title</name>
              <description>A name given to the resource</description>
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                  <text>Coronavirus</text>
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              <description>An account of the resource</description>
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                  <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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      <name>Text</name>
      <description>A resource consisting primarily of words for reading. Examples include books, letters, dissertations, poems, newspapers, articles, archives of mailing lists. Note that facsimiles or images of texts are still of the genre Text.</description>
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                <text>Forecasting COVID-19-Associated Hospitalizations under Different Levels of Social Distancing in Lombardy and Emilia-Romagna, Northern Italy: Results from an Extended SEIR Compartmental Model</text>
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            <name>Creator</name>
            <description>An entity primarily responsible for making the resource</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="24637">
                <text>Jacopo Lenzi, Riccardo Valentini, Biao Tang, Maria Pia Fantini, Alessandro Lanza, Davide Gori, Antonio Navarra, Chiara Reno, Eleonora Barelli</text>
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                <text>The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was identified in Wuhan, China, in December 2019. As of 17 April 2020, more than 2 million cases of COVID-19 have been reported worldwide. Northern Italy is one of the world’s centers of active coronavirus cases. In this study, we predicted the spread of COVID-19 and its burden on hospital care under different conditions of social distancing in Lombardy and Emilia-Romagna, the two regions of Italy most affected by the epidemic. To do this, we used a Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) deterministic model, which encompasses compartments relevant to public health interventions such as quarantine. A new compartment    L    was added to the model for isolated infected population, i.e., individuals tested positives that do not need hospital care. We found that in Lombardy restrictive containment measures should be prolonged at least until early July to avoid a resurgence of hospitalizations; on the other hand, in Emilia-Romagna the number of hospitalized cases could be kept under a reasonable amount with a higher contact rate. Our results suggest that territory-specific forecasts under different scenarios are crucial to enhance or take new containment measures during the epidemic.</text>
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                <text>2020</text>
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            <description>The topic of the resource</description>
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                <text>coronavirus, Pandemic, public health intervention, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, lockdown</text>
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              <elementText elementTextId="24641">
                <text>DOI: 10.3390/jcm9051492</text>
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            <description>A related resource from which the described resource is derived</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="24642">
                <text>Journal of Clinical Medicine</text>
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            <name>Publisher</name>
            <description>An entity responsible for making the resource available</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="24643">
                <text>MDPI AG</text>
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            <name>Coverage</name>
            <description>The spatial or temporal topic of the resource, the spatial applicability of the resource, or the jurisdiction under which the resource is relevant</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="24644">
                <text>Medicine</text>
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            <element elementId="50">
              <name>Title</name>
              <description>A name given to the resource</description>
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                  <text>Coronavirus</text>
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            <element elementId="41">
              <name>Description</name>
              <description>An account of the resource</description>
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                <elementText elementTextId="2">
                  <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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      <name>Text</name>
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        <name>Dublin Core</name>
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                <text>Forecasting epidemic spread of SARS-CoV-2 using ARIMA model (Case study: Iran)</text>
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            <name>Creator</name>
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              <elementText elementTextId="35787">
                <text>T.T. Tran, L.T. Pham, Q.X. Ngo</text>
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                <text>Currently, the pandemic caused by a novel coronavirus, namely severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), is one of the most serious issues worldwide. SARS-CoV-2 was first observed in Wuhan, China, on December 31, 2019; this disease has been rapidly spreading worldwide. Iran was the first Middle East country to report a coronavirus death, it has been severely affected. Therefore, it is crucial to forecast the pandemic spread in Iran. This study aims to develop a prediction model for the daily total confirmed cases, total confirmed new cases, total deaths, total new deaths, growth rate in confirmed cases, and growth rate in deaths. The model utilizes SARS-CoV-2 daily data, which are mainly collected from the official website of the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control from February 20 to May 04, 2020 and other appropriated references. Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) is employed to forecast the trend of the pandemic spread. The ARIMA model predicts that Iran can easily exhibit an increase in the daily total confirmed cases and the total deaths, while the daily total confirmed new cases, total new deaths, and growth rate in confirmed cases/deaths becomes stable in the near future. This study predicts that Iran can control the SARS-CoV-2 disease in the near future. The ARIMA model can rapidly aid in forecasting patients and rendering a better preparedness plan in Iran.</text>
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            <name>Date</name>
            <description>A point or period of time associated with an event in the lifecycle of the resource</description>
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                <text>2020</text>
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          <element elementId="49">
            <name>Subject</name>
            <description>The topic of the resource</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="35790">
                <text>Prediction, Iran, epidemic, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), covid-19 coronavirus</text>
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            <name>Identifier</name>
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                <text>DOI: 10.22034/GJESM.2019.06.SI.01</text>
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            <name>Source</name>
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                <text>Global Journal of Environmental Science and Management</text>
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            <name>Publisher</name>
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              <elementText elementTextId="35793">
                <text>Global Journal of Environmental Science and Management</text>
              </elementText>
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            <name>Coverage</name>
            <description>The spatial or temporal topic of the resource, the spatial applicability of the resource, or the jurisdiction under which the resource is relevant</description>
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                <text>Environmental sciences</text>
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        <src>http://socictopen.socict.org/files/original/74c7df4c0ff645da5c16fec602495ffb.pdf</src>
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            <element elementId="50">
              <name>Title</name>
              <description>A name given to the resource</description>
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                  <text>Coronavirus</text>
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              <name>Description</name>
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                  <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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            <name>Title</name>
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                <text>Forecasting of Covid-19 cases based on prediction using artificial neural network curve fitting technique</text>
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            <name>Creator</name>
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                <text>B Datta, S. K. Tamang, P.D. Singh</text>
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            <name>Description</name>
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                <text>Artificial neural network is considered one of the most efficient methods in processing huge data sets that can be analyzed computationally to reveal patterns, trends, prediction, forecasting etc. It has a great prospective in engineering as well as in medical applications. The present work employs artificial neural network-based curve fitting techniques in prediction and forecasting of the Covid-19 number of rising cases and death cases in India, USA, France, and UK, considering the progressive trends of China and South Korea. In this paper, three cases are considered to analyze the outbreak of Covid-19 pandemic viz., (i) forecasting as per the present trend of rising cases of different countries (ii) forecasting of one week following up with the improvement trends as per China and South Korea, and (iii) forecasting if followed up the progressive trends as per China and South Korea before a week. The results have shown that ANN can efficiently forecast the future cases of COVID 19 outbreak of any country. The study shows that the confirmed cases of India, USA, France and UK could be about 50,000 to 1,60,000, 12,00,000 to 17,00,000, 1,40,000 to 1,50,000 and 2,40,000 to 2,50,000 respectively and may take about 2 to 10 months based on progressive trends of China and South Korea.  Similarly, the death toll for these countries just before controlling could be about 1600 to 4000 for India, 1,35,000 to 1,00,000 for USA, 40,000 to 55,000 for France, 35,000 to 47,000 for UK during the same period of study.</text>
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                <text>2020</text>
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                <text>Artificial Neural Network (ANN), coronavirus covid-19, ann-curve fitting, forecast modelling</text>
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                <text>DOI: 10.22034/GJESM.2019.06.SI.06</text>
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          <element elementId="48">
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              <elementText elementTextId="35418">
                <text>Global Journal of Environmental Science and Management</text>
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          <element elementId="45">
            <name>Publisher</name>
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              <elementText elementTextId="35419">
                <text>Global Journal of Environmental Science and Management</text>
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            <name>Coverage</name>
            <description>The spatial or temporal topic of the resource, the spatial applicability of the resource, or the jurisdiction under which the resource is relevant</description>
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                <text>Environmental sciences</text>
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