https://socictopen.socict.org/files/original/f1bb8721115b41308b8470966da0e586.pdf 063788ccef8c0311a8c1f6b24ddb9e09 Dublin Core The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/. Title A name given to the resource Coronavirus Description An account of the resource Dominio científico: Coronavirus Text A resource consisting primarily of words for reading. Examples include books, letters, dissertations, poems, newspapers, articles, archives of mailing lists. Note that facsimiles or images of texts are still of the genre Text. Dublin Core The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/. Title A name given to the resource COVID-19 Highest Incidence Forecast in Russia Based on Regression Model Creator An entity primarily responsible for making the resource Iosif Z. Aronov, Nataliia M. Galkina, Olga V. Maksimova Description An account of the resource The authors suggest a simple regression model of COVID-19 highest incidence prognosis in Russia on the basis of the revealed correlation between the duration of coronavirus peak (plateau) and air traffic volume. The study base included 37 countries in Europe, South America and Asia. Cluster analysis on the basis of the Euclidean metric for these countries showed the necessity of classifying the USA and China into a separate group, which gave grounds to exclude these countries from the analysis. In addition, Ireland was excluded from the analysis due to its special geographical location. For the remaining countries, the correlation coefficient between the number of airline passengers and the duration of the epidemic before reaching its peak was 0,87, which shows a high level of linear relationship between these indicators. Point forecast for the highest incidence in Russia by regression line falls on the 4th of May. The forecast interval with confidence levelγ=0.9 is ±14 days from the calculated date. The one-way analysis of variance showed that from April 22 to May 2, there was a slowdown in the growth rates of the diseased, which indicates an exit to the plateau. Date A point or period of time associated with an event in the lifecycle of the resource 2020 Subject The topic of the resource covid-19, forecast, regression model, peak (plateau) Identifier An unambiguous reference to the resource within a given context 10.33889/IJMEMS.2020.5.5.063 Source A related resource from which the described resource is derived International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences Publisher An entity responsible for making the resource available International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences Coverage The spatial or temporal topic of the resource, the spatial applicability of the resource, or the jurisdiction under which the resource is relevant Mathematics, Technology