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            <name>Title</name>
            <description>A name given to the resource</description>
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                <text>Coronavirus</text>
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                <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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          <name>Title</name>
          <description>A name given to the resource</description>
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              <text>Adding Space to Disease Models: A Case Study with COVID-19 in Oregon, USA</text>
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          <name>Creator</name>
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              <text>Nathan  H. Schumaker, Sydney  M. Watkins</text>
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          <name>Description</name>
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              <text>We selected the COVID-19 outbreak in the state of Oregon, USA as a system for developing a general geographically nuanced epidemiological forecasting model that balances simplicity, realism, and accessibility. Using the life history simulator HexSim, we inserted a mathematical SIRD disease model into a spatially explicit framework, creating a distributed array of linked compartment models. Our spatial model introduced few additional parameters, but casting the SIRD equations into a geographic setting significantly altered the system’s emergent dynamics. Relative to the non-spatial model, our simple spatial model better replicated the record of observed infection rates in Oregon. We also observed that estimates of vaccination efficacy drawn from the non-spatial model tended to be higher than those obtained from models that incorporate geographic variation. Our spatially explicit SIRD simulations of COVID-19 in Oregon suggest that modest additions of spatial complexity can bring considerable realism to a traditional disease model.</text>
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              <text>2021</text>
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          <name>Subject</name>
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              <text>epidemiology, covid-19, SIRD-model, simulation model, spatially-explicit model, HexSim</text>
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          <name>Identifier</name>
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              <text>10.3390/land10040438</text>
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          <name>Source</name>
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              <text>Epidemiology and Health</text>
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          <name>Publisher</name>
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              <text>Korean Society of Epidemiology</text>
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          <name>Coverage</name>
          <description>The spatial or temporal topic of the resource, the spatial applicability of the resource, or the jurisdiction under which the resource is relevant</description>
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              <text>Agriculture</text>
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