The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the U.S. Economy: Evidence from the Stock Market

The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the U.S. Economy: Evidence from the Stock Market

Willem Thorbecke

The coronavirus crisis has damaged the U.S. economy. This paper uses the stock returns of 125 sectors to investigate its impact. It decomposes returns into components driven by sector-specific factors and by macroeconomic factors. Idiosyncratic factors harmed industries such as airlines, aerospace, real estate, tourism, oil, brewers, retail apparel, and funerals. There are thus large swaths of the economy whose recovery depends not on the macroeconomic environment but on controlling the pandemic. Macroeconomic factors generated losses in industries such as production equipment, machinery, and electronic and electrical equipment. Thus, reviving capital goods spending requires not just an end to the pandemic but also a macroeconomic recovery.

2020

covid-19, Stock Returns, U.S. economy

10.3390/jrfm13100233

Epidemiology and Health

Korean Society of Epidemiology

Finance, Risk in industry. Risk management