https://socictopen.socict.org/files/original/311a164f6f1d95e70c6cc169ddbfec72.pdf d922d7b62624d7b658d15c7070735b30 Dublin Core The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/. Title A name given to the resource Coronavirus Description An account of the resource Dominio científico: Coronavirus Text A resource consisting primarily of words for reading. Examples include books, letters, dissertations, poems, newspapers, articles, archives of mailing lists. Note that facsimiles or images of texts are still of the genre Text. Dublin Core The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/. Title A name given to the resource Predicted impacts of government policies and actions on the SARS-CoV-2 disease in the northwestern Himalayan region, India. Creator An entity primarily responsible for making the resource Shiekh Marifatul Haq, Umer Yaqoob, Musheerul Hassan, Rafaela José da Silva, Eduardo Soares Calixto Description An account of the resource The outbreak of the new coronavirus pandemic (SARS-CoV-2) was initiated in December 2019, and within a couple of months it became a global health emergency. Given the importance to assess the evolution and transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 and to forecast the next scenario of the pandemic, mainly in countries with limited healthcare systems, we estimated the reproductive number (R0) of SARS-CoV-2 in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K), India, and a possible scenario for this pandemic in the region. We estimated the reproductive number (R0) of SARS-CoV-2 in its first outbreak stage in the northwestern region of Himalaya, India, and we also predicted new daily cases for the next 90 days using different R0, testing a plausible end of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak. Our results showed a considerable increase in the number of cases, but with a tendency to asymptote. Anantnag, Bandipora, Baramulla, Shopian, and Srinagar districts showed more than 100 cases and Kulgam and Kathua districts showed strong growth of the number of cases from the beginning of May, without a tendency to normalization. The estimated R0 for the J&K region was 1.041; but by decreasing the RO by 10, 25, and 50%, we observed a great decrease in the daily number of new cases, especially by decreasing by 50%. In this study, we indicate positive effects of the preventive measures, such as lockdown and social distancing, taken in the J&K region, showing a stabilization of the growth curves of new cases of SARS-CoV-2, which tends to a strong decrease over time as the R0 decreases. Date A point or period of time associated with an event in the lifecycle of the resource 2021 Subject The topic of the resource coronavirus, infectious disease, 2019ncov, covid-19, Pandemic, transmissibility Identifier An unambiguous reference to the resource within a given context 10.1007/s10389-021-01541-x Source A related resource from which the described resource is derived Zeitschrift fur Gesundheitswissenschaften = Journal of public health