Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Epidemic in Asia
SARS, infectious disease, Population dynamics, Richards model, net reproductive rate, cumulative cases
We analyzed the dynamics of cumulative severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) cases in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Beijing using the Richards model. The predicted total SARS incidence was close to the actual number of cases; the predicted cessation date was close to the lower limit of the 95% confidence interval.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Infectious and parasitic diseases, Medicine